Daily News Clips
Office of the Chancellor / Public Affairs
Tuesday, May 4, 2004
 

Daily Review /5-4-04

High school dropout rates meaningless
Federal government requires states to release data, but they know statistics are not accurate

By Jill Tucker

 

State education officials went through the motions of releasing annual dropout and graduation rates last week -- numbers they know are unreliable and probably in most cases dead wrong.

They have no choice.

Federal officials require states to calculate the data each year and publicly report the findings.

Among this year's reported implausibilities is the 100 percent graduation rate for Emery Unified. Just down the road, Newark Unified posted an 85.3 percent graduation rate -- a number that is supposed to indicate how many students actually make it through high school.

The Alameda County Office of Education -- which educates some of the students hardest to teach, including those in juvenile hall -- also reported a questionably high graduation rate of 98 percent. By comparison, the San Mateo County Office of Education posted a 78.9 percent rate.

The truth is, state officials do not know what percent of students actually finish high school. They do know that the four-year dropout rate of 12.9 percent posted Wednes-

day is wrong.

"It's not an accurate portrayal of the true dropout rate in our schools," said California Department of Education spokesman Rick Miller.

The problem is, local and state officials do not have a way of tracking every student in the state.

When students move, transfer, opt for early graduation, go to jail or die, there is no guarantee local districts are keeping track of them.

That means the state's four-year dropout rate of 12.9 percent likely is far too low, and the reported graduation rate of 86.6 percent is far too high.

State officials are hoping to have a better grasp starting next year when they implement a "unique student identifier system" to track students from school to school, from kindergarten to high school graduation.

Until then, there will be a bunch of numbers posted on the Department of Education Web site that don't mean much.