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In years past, most seniors at the University of North Carolina ignored
the recruiters from Newell Rubbermaid, the maker of dishwashing gloves
and Calphalon cookware, dismissing the company as another unfashionable
manufacturer. This year, the handful of students Newell hired as management
trainees became minor campus celebrities, simply because they had secured
jobs months before graduation.
When North Carolina seniors receive their diplomas here on Sunday, only
about 15 percent of them will have jobs awaiting them, half the percentage
that did a few springs ago, according to a university estimate. Another
25 percent will enroll in graduate school, leaving about 6 in 10 seniors
without a long-term plan come Monday morning.
The nation's class of 2003 was the last one to enter college while the
stock market was still rising, but it is graduating into the worst hiring
slump in 20 years, one that is now into its second year on campuses and
has afflicted young and well-educated workers to an unusual degree.
Corporations, after cutting their hiring of new graduates by 36 percent
between 2001 and 2002, are hiring about the same number of graduates as
they did last year, according to a survey by the National Association
of Colleges and Employers.
"We definitely picked the wrong time to be graduating from college,"
said Morgan Bushey, 21, who will make about $200 a week teaching English
in France, after having been rejected by seven law schools. "We just
have to hold on with our fingertips for a few years until we can do what
we really want to do."
The lack of jobs is the main reason that applications to medical school
increased this year for the first time in seven years, according to the
Association of American Medical Colleges. Applications to law schools
jumped 10 percent, after having risen almost 18 percent last year. The
number of people taking the Graduate Record Exam, the standardized test
required for most doctoral and master's programs, rose to its highest
level ever, after declining through much of the late 1990's.
Meanwhile, applications to Teach for America, which recruits college graduates
to teach for two years in public schools in poor neighborhoods, have more
than tripled in the last two years; Wendy Kopp, the program's founder,
said the economy appeared to be one reason. Americorps, the national service
program that pays $9,300 a year, and the Peace Corps have also become
more popular and more selective.
College seniors have reacted to their poor timing with a mixture of anxiety
and level-headedness. Many recall the signing bonuses and stock options
offered to graduates a few years ahead of them and wonder how their own
careers will get started.
"There is a haunting sense of insecurity," said Michael Barlow,
a senior here who hopes eventually to work in the Foreign Service and
is still looking for a job. "It is terrifying to be out of school
with no job lined up and ready to go."
But few of them express the frustration that is common among older unemployed
workers who know that their long-term prospects have dimmed and who have
dropped out of the labor force in large numbers during the last two years.
Asha Rangaraj, a North Carolina senior from Monroe, La., recalls that
her brother, two years older than she is, was hired out of college to
work for Bill Gates's money manager "really without any experience."
She, on the other hand, endured a few unpromising interviews before deciding
to enroll in North Carolina's master's program in accounting — in
large part because 99 percent of its graduates get jobs, she said.
Still, Ms. Rangaraj said: "I think it's definitely temporary. Everybody
has that feeling — two or three years, and everything will be back
to normal."
The change has been particularly unpleasant in Chapel Hill, home to one
of the country's most selective public universities, whose lush campus
sits just a few miles from Research Triangle Park, the once-booming technology
cluster.
But seniors on every campus — big and small, Ivy League and community
college — are struggling to find entry-level jobs that they want,
college officials say.
"It's pretty grim," said Jack R. Rayman, the director of career
services at Pennsylvania State University. Its graduate-school fair drew
thousands of students this year, filling large ballrooms in the student
union.
Over all, the unemployment rate for people ages 20 through 24 rose to
10.1 percent last month, up from 9.9 percent a year earlier and less than
7 percent in 2000, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The jobless
rate for the entire work force was 6 percent last month.
Courtney Flaks, 21, a senior at the University of North Carolina from
North Brunswick, N.J., said her plan was "just to go home and annoy
people for jobs. I don't have any idea how long it's going to take."
Ms. Flaks, who is seeking a job as a graphic designer at a magazine, had
a summer internship at Seventeen magazine and recently won a competition
to redesign the nameplate of a campus literary magazine. Even so, she
has had little success just finding openings to apply for.
"I finally have an interview, kind of," Ms. Flaks said, of an
upcoming visit to Condé Nast, the publishing company in New York.
"It's an exploratory interview. I don't know what that means."
Many of this year's success stories have come at companies like Newell
that were the antithesis of excitement during the dot-com craze of the
late 1990's. This year, however, excitement requires little more than
an offer of a good-paying job.
According to Marcia B. Harris, the director of career services here, North
Carolina's biggest recruiters — and thus hottest companies —
include Newell; Enterprise Rent-a-Car; Ferguson Enterprises, a distributor
of plumbing supplies, and Modern Woodmen of America, an insurer.
Newell has a management trainee program that is hiring 400 college graduates
this year across the country.
By contrast, Accenture and Ernst & Young, consulting firms that specialize
in technology and that each hired 25 seniors at the peak of the boom,
hired a combined total of three or four this year, Ms. Harris said.
Jon Narveson, another senior, from Asheville, N.C., came to Chapel Hill
expecting that he would end up at a computer company, he said. He will
instead move to Charlotte this summer and oversee Newell products at some
Lowe's home-improvement stores in the area.
"Whether it's fashionable or unfashionable doesn't matter to me,"
Mr. Narveson said. What matters, he said, is that he likes the Newell
executives he met and that they seem eager to help him learn the business.
The students who have been accepted by Teach for America or the Peace
Corps, in spite of this year's odds, express similar gratitude.
After watching many of last year's seniors return home after graduation
without jobs, Stephanie L. Scott adopted an attitude of "whatever
it takes," she said. As a backup, she and a friend met in a library
for two hours, three times a week over the course of two months, to study
for the G.R.E. But her first priority was Teach for America, and she will
begin teaching in Louisiana this summer.
"Right now, it almost doesn't matter what you're doing," said
Ms. Scott, who is from Goldsboro, N.C., and was the first person in her
family to attend college. "If you have a job, people look at you
like, `You're so lucky.' "
In fact, many seniors said that the last few months had given them a sense
of rejection on a scale they had never before felt. Ms. Bushey said she
could not help but compare applying to college, when she was accepted
at North Carolina before Thanksgiving, to the string of law-school rejections
she received, including some from places she had thought of as safety
schools.
Some juniors here said they were already preparing themselves for similar
experiences next year.
"When we were going into school, there was a lot of energy and enthusiasm
to go get your four years of education and then get a job," said
Matt Tepper, North Carolina's student body president, who will remain
on campus for both sessions of summer school after struggling to find
a paid internship. "Now it seems like everybody is going to law school."
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