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If only, Democrats keep thinking as the state budget deadlock continues. If
only we could pass a budget with a mere simple majority vote in the Legislature,
we’d have no problems.
And yes, legislative Democrats would not have problems. Nor would some
of the interest groups whose backs they scratch in return for campaign
scratch.
If they had their unfettered way, the ultra-liberals now controlling the
big Democratic legislative majorities in the Assembly and Senate would
have raised several taxes by now — Californians would be paying
new taxes on legal services, light bulbs, bullets and disposable diapers,
plus higher taxes on cigarettes, cocktails and very likely an increased
sales tax on just about everything.
But they haven’t had their way, and in the end they won’t
get everything they want. That’s because the GOP still controls
slightly more than one-third of the seats in both legislative houses and
California’s state constitution requires a two-thirds vote in each
house to pass a budget.
Republicans have refused all year to contribute their needed votes for
any new taxes, even though the biggest tax increases ever were imposed
while Republican Pete Wilson was governor during the last serious budget
crunch, in the early 1990s. If that be hypocrisy, they essentially say,
so be it.
The result so far is a stalemate that’s already extended well beyond
the June 30 legal deadline for adopting a budget.
Now the interest groups with the most to gain from pure Democratic control
of the budget process want to end the two-thirds requirement via an initiative
they seek to qualify for the March 4 primary election ballot.
“We are completely frustrated with the budget process,” Anthony
Wright, executive director of the Health Access group which pushes affordable
health care, told a reporter. “It is mired in gridlock, and there
is a lack of accountability for the lack of choices being made.”
Health Access is part of a coalition pushing the initiative, led by the
Service Employees International Union (read, government employees who
would rather have higher taxes than fewer jobs or lowered pay). The biggest
change the so-called Budget Accountability Act would make is a 55 percent
requirement for budget passage. The measure would also ban legislator
vacations or work on other bills when the budget has not been passed on
time. Lawmakers would no longer be paid during “overtime”
periods, nor would they be able to push other bills until they OK a spending
plan.
This measure is a blueprint for efficiency so long as one party —
currently the Democrats — controls well over 55 percent of legislative
seats. It comes close to guaranteeing a rubber-stamp vote on all financial
matters whenever one-party holds both a large legislative majority and
the governor’s office.
So this would lead to easy budgeting agreements today, with Democratic
priorities ruling in almost every case. In the current deficit-plagued
scene, it would likely mean many new taxes and far fewer cuts in either
jobs or services than now seem likely to emerge from the haggling.
Democrats who back the 55 percent vote might be shortsighted. While they
very probably will continue dominating the Legislature until 2012, a new
reapportionment plan might change things substantially after that.
What happens if and when a Republican governor takes office with a large
legislative majority? Democrats would have little chance to push the social
programs so integral to their party’s identity. They would no longer
have a voice in many of the state’s most critical decisions, the
very same plight the 55 percent plan would inflict on Republicans today.
And the political pendulum will surely swing back to the right in California
sometime, if only because things never stay the same and term limits have
reduced the power of incumbency.
In short, any proposed lowering of the budget vote threshold might be
good for Democrats and their friends today, but prove disastrous for them
later on.
For those who live by the sword in politics often die by the sword. California
Republicans already know this well. Their strong backing of the 1994 Proposition
187, with its anti-illegal immigrant aims, led to Wilson’s easy
re-election that year. But it also spurred massive numbers of citizenship
applications, activated the long-dormant Latino vote and has ensured extreme
minority status for the GOP for almost 10 years.
All of which makes the 55 percent budget vote a bad idea not just for
both parties but for all Californians.
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